MUN 77-89 ULK, April 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ULK beat MUN 89-77, but MUN's shots were worth 83.4 points to ULK's 75.7.

MUN 77-89 ULK, April 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MUN	62	62	67.9	15/19	15.5	77	83.4
ULK	59	79	66.7	10/11	9.0	89	75.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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