VIR 90-70 MIL, April 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. VIR beat MIL 90-70, and VIR's shots were worth 86.2 points to MIL's 75.0.

VIR 90-70 MIL, April 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VIR	60	71	68.4	19/22	17.8	90	86.2
MIL	56	58	62.7	12/15	12.3	70	75.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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