MAD 105-104 PRS, April 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MAD beat PRS 105-104, and MAD's shots were worth 88.8 points to PRS's 71.2.

MAD 105-104 PRS, April 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MAD	71	87	70.9	18/23	18.0	105	88.8
PRS	68	95	63.6	9/10	7.5	104	71.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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