PAN 98-101 PRS, March 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PRS beat PAN 101-98, but PAN's shots were worth 97.8 points to PRS's 82.3.

PAN 98-101 PRS, March 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAN	69	76	78.9	22/25	18.9	98	97.8
PRS	64	85	67.7	16/19	14.6	101	82.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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