RED 72-78 MAD, March 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MAD beat RED 78-72, but RED's shots were worth 97.9 points to MAD's 88.2.

RED 72-78 MAD, March 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
RED	74	58	84.5	14/18	13.4	72	97.9
MAD	64	65	74.8	13/17	13.5	78	88.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.