BER 64-108 VIR, March 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. VIR beat BER 108-64, but BER's shots were worth 100.4 points to VIR's 80.5.

BER 64-108 VIR, March 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BER734984.615/2115.864100.4
VIR589569.513/1411.010880.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.