MIL 88-98 BAR, March 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAR beat MIL 98-88, and BAR's shots were worth 91.6 points to MIL's 84.2.

MIL 88-98 BAR, March 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL626666.022/2218.28884.2
BAR688475.014/2116.69891.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.