BAR 82-70 ZAL, March 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAR beat ZAL 82-70, and BAR's shots were worth 76.6 points to ZAL's 73.7.

BAR 82-70 ZAL, March 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAR717671.46/65.28276.6
ZAL615862.112/1511.67073.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.