BAS 112-89 MUN, March 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAS beat MUN 112-89, and BAS's shots were worth 78.5 points to MUN's 77.5.

BAS 112-89 MUN, March 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAS	70	105	72.5	7/8	6.0	112	78.5
MUN	63	74	63.2	15/18	14.3	89	77.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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