PRS 92-79 MIL, March 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PRS beat MIL 92-79, and PRS's shots were worth 88.2 points to MIL's 77.3.

PRS 92-79 MIL, March 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PRS	67	73	66.6	19/28	21.6	92	88.2
MIL	59	61	58.9	18/22	18.4	79	77.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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