No. PAR beat MUN 86-78, but MUN's shots were worth 84.9 points to PAR's 82.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAR | 51 | 65 | 62.2 | 21/27 | 20.7 | 86 | 82.9 |
| MUN | 60 | 66 | 74.6 | 12/13 | 10.3 | 78 | 84.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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