RED 80-82 MIL, March 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat RED 82-80, but RED's shots were worth 82.8 points to MIL's 77.3.

RED 80-82 MIL, March 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
RED	57	60	60.4	20/30	22.4	80	82.8
MIL	56	59	54.4	23/28	22.9	82	77.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.