VIR 67-80 MAD, March 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MAD beat VIR 80-67, and MAD's shots were worth 86.1 points to VIR's 77.1.

VIR 67-80 MAD, March 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VIR	60	53	65.7	14/14	11.4	67	77.1
MAD	58	59	66.1	21/26	20.1	80	86.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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