ZAL 83-81 PRS, March 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ZAL beat PRS 83-81, and ZAL's shots were worth 89.5 points to PRS's 78.2.

ZAL 83-81 PRS, March 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ZAL	62	67	75.7	16/18	13.8	83	89.5
PRS	61	72	69.0	9/12	9.1	81	78.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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