BAS 66-65 ZAL, March 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BAS beat ZAL 66-65, but ZAL's shots were worth 75.5 points to BAS's 75.4.

BAS 66-65 ZAL, March 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAS	58	46	55.8	20/25	19.5	66	75.4
ZAL	62	55	63.4	10/16	12.1	65	75.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.