PAN 85-70 MAD, March 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PAN beat MAD 85-70, but MAD's shots were worth 92.7 points to PAN's 88.6.

PAN 85-70 MAD, March 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAN	66	72	76.2	13/16	12.4	85	88.6
MAD	69	65	85.7	5/9	7.0	70	92.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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