VIR 70-92 OLY, February 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OLY beat VIR 92-70, and OLY's shots were worth 91.5 points to VIR's 87.5.

VIR 70-92 OLY, February 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VIR635469.616/2217.97087.5
OLY677979.713/1511.89291.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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