MAD 96-91 BAR, February 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MAD beat BAR 96-91, and MAD's shots were worth 89.5 points to BAR's 80.4.

MAD 96-91 BAR, February 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MAD	61	67	59.8	29/37	29.6	96	89.5
BAR	71	79	67.1	12/17	13.3	91	80.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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