No. ZAL beat RED 86-80, but RED's shots were worth 80.2 points to ZAL's 66.3.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RED | 60 | 62 | 65.3 | 18/20 | 15.0 | 80 | 80.2 |
| ZAL | 49 | 71 | 51.9 | 15/19 | 14.5 | 86 | 66.3 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.