MCO 69-86 PAR, February 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PAR beat MCO 86-69, but MCO's shots were worth 73.1 points to PAR's 72.9.

MCO 69-86 PAR, February 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MCO595661.613/1511.56973.1
PAR607057.316/2015.68672.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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