MUN 76-67 ASV, February 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MUN beat ASV 76-67, but ASV's shots were worth 79.3 points to MUN's 78.6.

MUN 76-67 ASV, February 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MUN	62	66	68.5	10/12	10.1	76	78.6
ASV	58	54	64.7	13/20	14.7	67	79.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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