ZAL 87-89 MIL, February 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat ZAL 89-87, but ZAL's shots were worth 95.5 points to MIL's 85.7.

ZAL 87-89 MIL, February 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ZAL	65	66	78.4	21/22	17.1	87	95.5
MIL	51	64	59.7	25/32	25.9	89	85.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.