MCO 92-85 BAS, February 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MCO beat BAS 92-85, but BAS's shots were worth 84.6 points to MCO's 78.8.

MCO 92-85 BAS, February 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MCO587562.017/2216.89278.8
BAS716970.416/1814.28584.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.