IST 79-73 MAD, February 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IST beat MAD 79-73, and IST's shots were worth 95.0 points to MAD's 89.5.

IST 79-73 MAD, February 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IST666276.817/2218.27995.0
MAD606274.611/1915.07389.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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