PAR 71-73 RED, January 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. RED beat PAR 73-71, but PAR's shots were worth 85.2 points to RED's 83.4.

PAR 71-73 RED, January 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAR595971.612/1713.77185.2
RED565365.320/2418.27383.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.