ZAL 82-97 MUN, January 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MUN beat ZAL 97-82, but ZAL's shots were worth 91.3 points to MUN's 90.4.

ZAL 82-97 MUN, January 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ZAL636678.416/1712.98291.3
MUN638377.414/1613.09790.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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