MAD 90-89 BAS, January 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MAD beat BAS 90-89, but BAS's shots were worth 92.8 points to MAD's 73.5.

MAD 90-89 BAS, January 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MAD	60	68	52.8	22/26	20.6	90	73.5
BAS	79	76	79.1	13/18	13.7	89	92.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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