VIR 80-86 MCO, January 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MCO beat VIR 86-80, but VIR's shots were worth 87.1 points to MCO's 82.9.

VIR 80-86 MCO, January 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VIR	57	57	63.3	23/30	23.9	80	87.1
MCO	57	67	64.0	19/25	18.9	86	82.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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