BAS 91-77 PAN, January 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BAS beat PAN 91-77, and BAS's shots were worth 81.8 points to PAN's 77.7.

BAS 91-77 PAN, January 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BAS	66	82	70.6	9/14	11.1	91	81.8
PAN	61	63	64.7	14/17	12.9	77	77.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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