ASV 96-89 BER, January 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ASV beat BER 96-89, but BER's shots were worth 98.8 points to ASV's 96.3.

ASV 96-89 BER, January 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ASV637375.323/2721.19696.3
BER727785.912/1712.98998.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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