MUN 95-94 MCO, January 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MUN beat MCO 95-94, but MCO's shots were worth 72.8 points to MUN's 66.9.

MUN 95-94 MCO, January 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MUN	54	84	57.1	11/12	9.9	95	66.9
MCO	59	81	60.6	13/15	12.2	94	72.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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