ZAL 77-68 VIR, January 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ZAL beat VIR 77-68, but VIR's shots were worth 86.7 points to ZAL's 78.6.

ZAL 77-68 VIR, January 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ZAL	57	69	67.0	8/15	11.6	77	78.6
VIR	61	52	72.5	16/18	14.3	68	86.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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