MCO 84-98 BAR, January 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BAR beat MCO 98-84, but MCO's shots were worth 77.6 points to BAR's 71.0.

MCO 84-98 BAR, January 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MCO	61	66	61.0	18/21	16.6	84	77.6
BAR	67	89	59.7	9/14	11.3	98	71.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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