ULK 90-73 BER, January 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ULK beat BER 90-73, and ULK's shots were worth 88.1 points to BER's 79.7.

ULK 90-73 BER, January 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ULK	58	72	70.2	18/23	17.9	90	88.1
BER	66	70	76.5	3/4	3.2	73	79.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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