MAD 88-76 MUN, January 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MAD beat MUN 88-76, and MAD's shots were worth 77.6 points to MUN's 77.5.

MAD 88-76 MUN, January 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MAD678067.18/1310.48877.6
MUN636464.912/1512.67677.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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