BER 90-105 MCO, January 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MCO beat BER 105-90, but BER's shots were worth 98.5 points to MCO's 96.1.

BER 90-105 MCO, January 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BER677784.513/1913.99098.5
MCO648779.518/2116.510596.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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