VIR 86-81 BAR, December 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. VIR beat BAR 86-81, and VIR's shots were worth 96.3 points to BAR's 85.1.

VIR 86-81 BAR, December 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VIR696877.318/2419.08696.3
BAR767378.68/86.58185.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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