IST 86-77 PAR, December 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IST beat PAR 86-77, but PAR's shots were worth 78.7 points to IST's 75.9.

IST 86-77 PAR, December 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IST638573.31/32.58675.9
PAR606870.79/118.07778.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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