OLY 87-77 VIR, December 18, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OLY beat VIR 87-77, and OLY's shots were worth 85.1 points to VIR's 68.0.

OLY 87-77 VIR, December 18, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLY	66	73	69.8	14/18	15.3	87	85.1
VIR	57	61	53.7	16/18	14.3	77	68.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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