PAN 94-79 MUN, October 10, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAN beat MUN 94-79, and PAN's shots were worth 98.0 points to MUN's 92.4.

PAN 94-79 MUN, October 10, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAN	72	84	87.6	10/14	10.4	94	98.0
MUN	65	65	80.0	14/15	12.4	79	92.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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