PRS 85-96 MAD, December 17, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MAD beat PRS 96-85, but PRS's shots were worth 89.7 points to MAD's 86.3.

PRS 85-96 MAD, December 17, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PRS	73	69	74.6	16/19	15.0	85	89.7
MAD	67	78	69.4	18/22	17.0	96	86.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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