MAD 83-92 ZAL, December 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ZAL beat MAD 92-83, and ZAL's shots were worth 82.7 points to MAD's 80.0.

MAD 83-92 ZAL, December 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MAD	54	58	53.4	25/34	26.6	83	80.0
ZAL	62	77	66.5	15/21	16.1	92	82.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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