BAS 81-82 VIR, December 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. VIR beat BAS 82-81, but BAS's shots were worth 80.8 points to VIR's 76.9.

BAS 81-82 VIR, December 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAS606560.416/2620.48180.8
VIR637165.111/1511.98276.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.