ULK 69-99 MCO, December 12, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MCO beat ULK 99-69, but ULK's shots were worth 85.6 points to MCO's 83.6.

ULK 69-99 MCO, December 12, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ULK635469.415/2016.26985.6
MCO607865.021/2418.69983.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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