MAD 70-82 ULK, December 5, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ULK beat MAD 82-70, and ULK's shots were worth 73.0 points to MAD's 65.6.

MAD 70-82 ULK, December 5, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MAD	58	60	55.8	10/12	9.8	70	65.6
ULK	64	67	58.4	15/18	14.5	82	73.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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