MIL 101-86 RED, December 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat RED 101-86, but RED's shots were worth 95.2 points to MIL's 94.8.

MIL 101-86 RED, December 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL729383.88/1311.010194.8
RED697683.610/1511.68695.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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