MCO 80-89 OLY, December 4, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. OLY beat MCO 89-80, but MCO's shots were worth 70.4 points to OLY's 69.8.

MCO 80-89 OLY, December 4, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MCO	67	78	67.1	2/4	3.3	80	70.4
OLY	65	80	62.0	9/10	7.8	89	69.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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