PAR 84-78 ZAL, December 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PAR beat ZAL 84-78, and PAR's shots were worth 85.0 points to ZAL's 84.6.

PAR 84-78 ZAL, December 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PAR546362.421/3022.68485.0
ZAL636874.410/1310.37884.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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