PAN 90-89 BAR, December 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PAN beat BAR 90-89, but BAR's shots were worth 82.7 points to PAN's 78.2.

PAN 90-89 BAR, December 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PAN	59	73	62.5	17/21	15.7	90	78.2
BAR	66	78	72.5	11/13	10.2	89	82.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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