ASV 80-78 MAD, December 3, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ASV beat MAD 80-78, but MAD's shots were worth 85.4 points to ASV's 79.6.

ASV 80-78 MAD, December 3, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ASV566667.114/1512.48079.6
MAD657076.98/118.57885.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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